India could face a mild lockdown as the nation is expected to see a mild third wave which would peak in the early part of next year, according to experts who have been modelling the pandemic.
Helmed by Professor Manindra Agrawal of IIT Kanpur, the SUTRA model (short for Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach) shows that the outbreak may peak at around the first week of February before case numbers start to decline.
The researcher said that cases of the new variant Omicron will be at their peak early next year, around the same time that the Assembly elections in Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur have been scheduled.
He also noted that, across the globe, the Omicron variant is not leading to critical cases but only mild infection. The data gathered so far suggests that the variant has only mild symptoms, even as its transmissibility appears to be high.